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Red31
338815.2
623010.1
599014.7
Blue60
333921.9
223117.8
565411.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4257102030507080903160

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3388
#17
15.20.9
13.912.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.7
blue by 6.7
21.90.3
23.723.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.3
End8.2
Second
5990
#31
14.70.9
15.314.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.9
End3.1
blue by 3.1
2231
#10
17.80.3
18.618.9
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Third
6230
#32
10.10.9
10.69.7
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End1.5
blue by 1.6
11.70.3
12.012.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed77%HAB Docking oddsEarned