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Red29
221211.2
458616.6
565411.7
Blue43
331618.0
592814.2
19549.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4743203040506070802943

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4586
#28
16.61.5
18.417.0
Auto4.4
Teleop11.5
End0.8
blue by 1.4
18.00.2
18.418.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.6
End4.0
Second
11.71.5
12.310.8
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End4.4
blue by 2.5
5928
#19
14.20.2
13.413.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End3.8
Third
2212
#34
11.21.5
13.512.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End2.1
red by 2.0
1954
#26
9.20.2
9.19.3
Auto2.9
Teleop4.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsMissed