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Red68
383516.5
595117.6
563514.9
Blue50
599014.7
673817.3
610419.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4754203040506070806850

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5951
#21
17.62.2
18.420.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.2
End4.2
blue by 1.7
19.30.7
20.720.0
Auto5.5
Teleop10.5
End3.3
Second
3835
#25
16.52.0
13.115.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End4.5
blue by 0.8
6738
#12
17.30.7
16.415.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.1
End3.3
Third
5635
#11
14.92.0
12.514.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End6.5
red by 0.2
5990
#31
14.70.7
14.413.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsMissed