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Red55
432014.9
623010.1
784515.1
Blue62
610419.3
338815.2
157310.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39460102030506070805562

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7845
#33
15.11.4
14.115.5
Auto6.2
Teleop6.5
End2.4
blue by 4.2
19.30.0
20.020.0
Auto5.5
Teleop10.5
End3.3
Second
4320
#27
14.91.5
13.214.7
Auto3.1
Teleop8.9
End2.9
blue by 0.3
3388
#17
15.20.0
13.813.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.7
Third
6230
#32
10.11.4
9.410.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End1.5
blue by 0.1
1573
#20
10.20.0
9.89.8
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed