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Red40
307515.5
333921.9
595117.6
Blue41
673613.8
592814.2
563514.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63452040804041

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.91.7
23.121.4
Auto3.3
Teleop10.3
End8.2
red by 6.9
5635
#11
14.90.1
14.514.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End6.5
Second
5951
#21
17.61.9
20.618.7
Auto5.2
Teleop8.2
End4.2
red by 3.4
5928
#19
14.20.2
13.613.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End3.8
Third
15.51.7
15.613.9
Auto3.2
Teleop8.7
End3.5
red by 1.7
13.80.1
14.514.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
88%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsEarned