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Red47
561415.6
503816.1
610419.3
Blue40
565411.7
19549.2
474416.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583701020305070804740

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.30.6
20.019.4
Auto5.5
Teleop10.5
End3.3
red by 3.3
4744
#30
16.00.4
15.015.4
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End2.2
Second
16.10.7
17.116.4
Auto3.8
Teleop9.0
End3.3
red by 4.4
11.70.4
10.811.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End4.4
Third
5614
#18
15.60.7
17.717.0
Auto3.2
Teleop9.6
End2.9
red by 6.4
1954
#26
9.20.4
9.39.7
Auto2.9
Teleop4.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsMissed