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Red50
47849.7
563514.9
565411.7
Blue41
263015.7
784515.1
308314.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374801020306070805041

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5635
#11
14.90.5
14.414.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End6.5
blue by 0.8
2630
#22
15.70.4
15.415.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End2.8
Second
11.70.5
11.311.8
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End4.4
blue by 3.4
7845
#33
15.10.4
15.515.1
Auto6.2
Teleop6.5
End2.4
Third
9.70.4
9.19.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End2.6
blue by 5.1
3083
#24
14.80.4
15.014.6
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsEarned11%HAB Docking oddsMissed