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Red32
571511.3
19549.2
503816.1
Blue36
223117.8
157310.2
431911.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404202060801003236

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.10.5
16.415.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.0
End3.3
blue by 1.7
2231
#10
17.80.3
18.718.4
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Second
5715
#29
11.30.5
11.811.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End1.2
red by 0.2
4319
#15
11.00.3
11.311.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End3.1
Third
1954
#26
9.20.5
9.79.2
Auto2.9
Teleop4.5
End1.8
blue by 1.0
1573
#20
10.20.3
9.89.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed