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Red44
458616.6
784515.1
474416.0
Blue52
432014.9
221211.2
338815.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37411020305060704452

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4586
#28
16.61.0
15.015.9
Auto4.4
Teleop11.5
End0.8
red by 1.5
3388
#17
15.20.0
12.612.6
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.7
Second
4744
#30
16.01.0
11.712.6
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End2.2
red by 1.1
4320
#27
14.90.0
13.113.2
Auto3.1
Teleop8.9
End2.9
Third
7845
#33
15.11.0
8.89.7
Auto6.2
Teleop6.5
End2.4
red by 3.9
2212
#34
11.20.0
13.013.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed