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Red52
563514.9
707918.5
673817.3
Blue8
431911.0
47849.7
623010.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392601020305060528

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7079
#14
18.51.3
11.612.9
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End4.6
red by 7.4
4319
#15
11.01.1
8.67.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End3.1
Second
6738
#12
17.31.3
12.013.3
Auto5.0
Teleop9.1
End3.3
red by 7.2
6230
#32
10.11.8
11.49.6
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End1.5
Third
5635
#11
14.91.3
13.614.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End6.5
red by 5.2
9.71.1
4.33.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed