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Red41
331621.3
466110.2
157611.9
Blue35
267918.9
195410.9
459017.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364410203040506070804135

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.30.5
17.217.7
Auto5.9
Teleop11.5
End3.9
red by 2.4
2679
#13
18.90.5
19.318.8
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End3.3
Second
11.90.5
9.49.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End4.7
blue by 5.6
4590
#28
17.60.5
14.113.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End4.0
Third
4661
#18
10.20.5
7.58.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.4
End3.2
blue by 0.6
1954
#31
10.90.5
8.58.0
Auto4.5
Teleop4.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed47%HAB Docking oddsMissed