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Red48
432011.8
209616.1
706711.1
Blue66
717722.6
306518.5
503817.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41552060804866

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2096
#30
16.10.6
12.613.2
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End2.7
blue by 6.5
7177
#10
22.60.9
20.721.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.7
End5.7
Second
4320
#35
11.80.7
15.416.1
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End3.1
blue by 6.8
3065
#27
18.50.9
12.613.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End4.8
Third
7067
#33
11.10.6
11.111.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End1.3
blue by 6.0
5038
#16
17.10.9
18.719.7
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsEarned