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Red59
614914.3
673820.8
333923.0
Blue54
595123.5
209616.1
598717.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57522040805954

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.3
23.123.4
Auto3.1
Teleop11.3
End8.7
blue by 0.4
23.50.1
20.620.7
Auto5.3
Teleop13.3
End4.8
Second
6738
#12
20.80.3
17.517.8
Auto5.8
Teleop10.2
End4.7
red by 3.7
5987
#22
17.10.1
14.014.1
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End3.9
Third
6149
#20
14.30.3
13.714.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End3.3
blue by 1.7
2096
#30
16.10.1
14.714.8
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
67%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed