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Red80
263023.0
169026.2
674012.9
Blue12
503817.1
432011.8
157611.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60492040801008012

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.1
27.928.1
Auto2.9
Teleop15.5
End7.8
red by 9.1
5038
#16
17.12.3
19.116.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End4.5
Second
23.00.1
19.619.7
Auto3.7
Teleop13.8
End5.6
red by 11.1
11.92.3
11.39.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End4.7
Third
6740
#21
12.90.1
9.69.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.8
End2.5
red by 1.1
4320
#35
11.82.3
16.213.9
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
10%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
78%HAB Docking oddsEarned23%HAB Docking oddsMissed