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Red45
598717.1
784517.8
555422.5
Blue43
306518.5
223016.6
563518.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5449203040607080904543

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.6
21.120.5
Auto3.4
Teleop15.3
End3.8
red by 3.6
5635
#15
18.90.4
17.417.0
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End5.8
Second
7845
#17
17.80.6
15.514.9
Auto6.4
Teleop8.2
End3.2
blue by 0.7
3065
#27
18.50.4
15.615.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End4.8
Third
5987
#22
17.10.6
14.113.5
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End3.9
red by 0.5
16.60.4
13.513.1
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed68%HAB Docking oddsMissed