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Red49
706711.1
503817.1
673820.8
Blue71
193723.8
157611.9
267918.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4954204060801004971

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6738
#12
20.80.0
18.418.3
Auto5.8
Teleop10.2
End4.7
blue by 3.0
23.81.1
22.523.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.5
End7.7
Second
5038
#16
17.10.0
16.816.7
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End4.5
blue by 1.8
2679
#13
18.91.1
19.420.6
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End3.3
Third
7067
#33
11.10.0
11.411.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End1.3
blue by 0.8
11.91.1
9.010.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsEarned73%HAB Docking oddsEarned