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Red42
195410.9
503817.1
703918.7
Blue77
571514.9
263023.0
614914.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4853204060804277

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7039
#11
18.70.5
20.419.9
Auto2.8
Teleop9.9
End6.0
blue by 4.3
23.00.2
21.822.0
Auto3.7
Teleop13.8
End5.6
Second
5038
#16
17.10.5
17.116.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End4.5
red by 2.2
5715
#25
14.90.2
13.613.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.8
End1.9
Third
1954
#31
10.90.5
8.47.9
Auto4.5
Teleop4.5
End1.9
blue by 3.5
6149
#20
14.30.2
14.815.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed