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Red58
599013.6
610421.3
623014.8
Blue66
673820.8
223016.6
466110.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5043102030406070805866

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6104
#29
21.30.5
19.319.8
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End4.1
red by 0.5
6738
#12
20.81.7
18.219.8
Auto5.8
Teleop10.2
End4.7
Second
6230
#24
14.80.5
14.415.0
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End2.3
blue by 1.8
16.61.7
14.416.1
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End5.4
Third
5990
#19
13.60.5
13.313.8
Auto3.3
Teleop6.7
End3.5
red by 3.3
4661
#18
10.21.7
8.410.1
Auto2.6
Teleop4.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsEarned