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Red62
555422.5
459017.6
331621.3
Blue54
194218.8
707917.5
306518.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5858505560656254

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.5
20.921.4
Auto3.4
Teleop15.3
End3.8
red by 3.7
1942
#14
18.80.1
17.917.9
Auto2.8
Teleop9.3
End6.7
Second
21.30.5
19.119.6
Auto5.9
Teleop11.5
End3.9
red by 2.7
3065
#27
18.50.1
18.418.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End4.8
Third
4590
#28
17.60.5
14.915.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End4.0
red by 0.1
7079
#23
17.50.1
18.418.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsMissed73%HAB Docking oddsMissed