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Red64
616812.8
306518.5
673820.8
Blue78
563518.9
333923.0
784517.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556620304050607080901006478

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6738
#12
20.80.1
21.021.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.2
End4.7
blue by 2.2
23.00.6
24.323.7
Auto3.1
Teleop11.3
End8.7
Second
3065
#27
18.50.1
18.818.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End4.8
blue by 0.4
5635
#15
18.90.6
19.619.0
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End5.8
Third
6168
#32
12.80.1
12.712.8
Auto3.4
Teleop7.1
End2.3
blue by 5.0
7845
#17
17.80.6
18.517.8
Auto6.4
Teleop8.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed85%HAB Docking oddsEarned