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Red71
571514.9
194218.8
459017.6
Blue48
614914.3
674012.9
610421.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495110203040607080907148

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1942
#14
18.81.4
17.318.7
Auto2.8
Teleop9.3
End6.7
blue by 2.5
6104
#29
21.30.1
21.321.3
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End4.1
Second
4590
#28
17.61.4
15.817.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End4.0
red by 3.2
6149
#20
14.30.1
14.414.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End3.3
Third
5715
#25
14.91.4
13.414.9
Auto3.2
Teleop9.8
End1.9
red by 2.0
6740
#21
12.90.1
13.013.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsEarned27%HAB Docking oddsMissed