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Red56
440021.5
93520.4
199716.8
Blue47
318412.2
256018.0
642417.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48432060805647

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.6
18.719.3
Auto3.8
Teleop13.8
End3.9
red by 3.5
2560
#19
18.00.7
12.313.0
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End4.1
Second
935
#5
20.40.9
12.613.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End5.1
red by 3.1
6424
#11
17.40.7
14.915.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.9
End6.0
Third
1997
#15
16.80.9
14.014.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.6
End6.1
red by 4.6
3184
#29
12.20.7
13.113.9
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed