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Red56
580126.4
694118.1
234512.7
Blue40
635913.3
182519.9
222019.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434502060805640

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.41.7
16.117.9
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End7.4
red by 6.4
19.90.3
14.113.8
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End3.8
Second
18.11.7
13.415.1
Auto3.6
Teleop10.0
End4.5
blue by 1.8
19.90.3
13.813.5
Auto3.7
Teleop13.9
End2.3
Third
2345
#17
12.71.7
10.812.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End2.8
blue by 0.7
6359
#24
13.30.3
14.814.5
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsEarned33%HAB Docking oddsMissed