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Red51
452222.4
182712.9
198718.2
Blue9
9387.7
501314.3
316012.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453401020304050607080519

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4522
#22
22.40.7
19.219.9
Auto3.7
Teleop15.3
End3.4
red by 8.1
5013
#25
14.32.6
14.011.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End3.4
Second
18.21.0
14.315.3
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End4.5
red by 5.4
3160
#23
12.81.9
12.010.2
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End3.3
Third
1827
#12
12.91.0
8.99.8
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End3.5
red by 5.2
938
#36
7.72.6
6.13.5
Auto2.4
Teleop2.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed