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Red36
171017.8
318412.2
690719.4
Blue53
199716.8
198628.5
328413.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415602060803653

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6907
#20
19.40.3
12.812.5
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End4.3
blue by 9.1
28.50.0
21.921.9
Auto4.1
Teleop15.5
End8.9
Second
1710
#21
17.80.3
12.312.0
Auto2.8
Teleop12.5
End2.5
red by 1.0
1997
#15
16.80.0
14.914.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.6
End6.1
Third
3184
#29
12.20.3
13.913.6
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End2.8
blue by 1.7
3284
#27
13.90.0
15.915.9
Auto3.4
Teleop8.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed50%HAB Docking oddsEarned