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Red63
580126.4
256018.0
198718.2
Blue64
234512.7
171017.8
642417.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504420304060706364

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.41.7
18.320.0
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End7.4
red by 8.5
1710
#21
17.82.4
12.014.4
Auto2.8
Teleop12.5
End2.5
Second
18.21.7
15.317.0
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End4.5
red by 0.8
6424
#11
17.42.4
16.719.1
Auto3.4
Teleop7.9
End6.0
Third
2560
#19
18.01.7
14.215.9
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End4.1
red by 5.4
2345
#17
12.72.4
13.515.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsEarned41%HAB Docking oddsEarned