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Red27
75135.9
440021.5
512614.4
Blue42
182712.9
478614.1
694013.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40371020305060702742

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.7
19.518.8
Auto3.8
Teleop13.8
End3.9
red by 7.4
4786
#18
14.10.2
13.713.5
Auto5.4
Teleop4.1
End4.7
Second
5126
#26
14.41.2
12.811.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End4.2
red by 1.1
6940
#13
13.30.2
11.611.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.2
End1.6
Third
7513
#30
5.91.2
5.74.4
Auto3.7
Teleop1.3
End1.0
blue by 7.0
1827
#12
12.90.2
9.89.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed