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Red48
9387.7
328413.9
173020.0
Blue85
234512.7
316012.8
198718.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41471020306070804885

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.7
18.118.8
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End6.8
red by 1.8
18.20.7
17.017.7
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End4.5
Second
3284
#27
13.90.7
15.616.2
Auto3.4
Teleop8.4
End2.2
red by 1.1
3160
#23
12.80.4
11.612.1
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End3.3
Third
938
#36
7.70.7
5.15.8
Auto2.4
Teleop2.9
End2.4
blue by 4.9
2345
#17
12.70.7
15.916.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsMissed