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Red56
11089.3
222019.9
580126.4
Blue54
452222.4
176411.6
199411.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484520304060705654

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.1
20.020.1
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End7.4
red by 3.9
4522
#22
22.40.8
20.521.3
Auto3.7
Teleop15.3
End3.4
Second
19.90.1
14.014.1
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End3.8
red by 8.2
1994
#32
11.71.3
9.410.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End4.1
Third
1108
#35
9.30.1
11.811.9
Auto3.8
Teleop3.9
End1.6
blue by 2.3
1764
#33
11.61.3
12.513.8
Auto4.8
Teleop4.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsEarned