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Red36
501314.3
635913.3
514111.5
Blue45
200111.4
182519.9
256018.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444802060803645

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5013
#25
14.30.6
11.110.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End3.4
blue by 5.6
19.90.0
16.816.8
Auto3.7
Teleop13.9
End2.3
Second
6359
#24
13.30.6
15.214.6
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End1.2
blue by 4.7
2560
#19
18.00.0
15.915.9
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End4.1
Third
5141
#14
11.50.6
15.214.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End2.9
Level
2001
#28
11.40.0
12.412.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed45%HAB Docking oddsMissed