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Red42
328413.9
452222.4
694013.3
Blue102
690719.4
222019.9
642417.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525102040608010042102

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4522
#22
22.40.5
21.320.8
Auto3.7
Teleop15.3
End3.4
red by 2.5
19.93.5
14.117.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End3.8
Second
3284
#27
13.90.8
16.215.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.4
End2.2
blue by 5.5
6907
#20
19.43.5
14.317.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End4.3
Third
6940
#13
13.30.8
11.911.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.2
End1.6
blue by 4.1
6424
#11
17.43.5
19.623.2
Auto3.4
Teleop7.9
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsEarned