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Red39
778516.6
199411.7
200111.4
Blue56
75135.9
580126.4
318412.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40402530354550553956

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7785
#10
16.60.1
15.115.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End4.4
blue by 9.8
26.41.7
20.121.8
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End7.4
Second
1994
#32
11.70.1
10.710.8
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End4.1
blue by 0.5
3184
#29
12.21.7
14.416.1
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End2.8
Third
2001
#28
11.40.1
12.412.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End3.3
red by 5.5
7513
#30
5.91.7
3.35.0
Auto3.7
Teleop1.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
61%HAB Docking oddsMissed36%HAB Docking oddsMissed