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Red23
316012.8
11089.3
200111.4
Blue52
512614.4
690719.4
182519.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374820304060702352

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3160
#23
12.80.8
11.510.7
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End3.3
blue by 7.1
19.90.7
17.117.8
Auto3.7
Teleop13.9
End2.3
Second
2001
#28
11.41.2
12.511.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End3.3
blue by 8.0
6907
#20
19.40.6
17.918.6
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End4.3
Third
1108
#35
9.31.3
10.69.3
Auto3.8
Teleop3.9
End1.6
blue by 5.1
5126
#26
14.40.7
10.911.5
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed