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Red34
176411.6
328413.9
514111.5
Blue44
346512.1
198718.2
694118.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47490204060801001203444

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#27
13.91.5
16.014.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.4
End2.2
blue by 4.2
18.20.7
18.818.2
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End4.5
Second
1764
#33
11.61.5
16.815.2
Auto4.8
Teleop4.5
End2.3
blue by 6.4
18.10.6
16.716.1
Auto3.6
Teleop10.0
End4.5
Third
5141
#14
11.51.4
11.810.4
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End2.9
blue by 0.7
3465
#31
12.10.4
11.311.0
Auto3.0
Teleop6.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed