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Red42
199716.8
200111.4
222019.9
Blue21
50828.9
234512.7
478614.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41412530354550554221

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.3
13.814.1
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End3.8
red by 5.8
4786
#18
14.12.0
14.412.4
Auto5.4
Teleop4.1
End4.7
Second
1997
#15
16.80.3
13.714.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.6
End6.1
red by 4.2
2345
#17
12.72.0
12.810.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End2.8
Third
2001
#28
11.40.3
11.611.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End3.3
red by 2.6
5082
#34
8.92.0
11.89.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsEarned27%HAB Docking oddsMissed