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Red36
171017.8
198718.2
778516.6
Blue36
11089.3
245714.8
694013.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413802060801003636

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.2
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End4.5
red by 3.3
2457
#16
14.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.4
End3.4
Second
1710
#21
17.8
Auto2.8
Teleop12.5
End2.5
red by 4.5
6940
#13
13.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.2
End1.6
Third
7785
#10
16.6
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End4.4
red by 7.2
1108
#35
9.3
Auto3.8
Teleop3.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed