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Red47
316012.8
328413.9
182712.9
Blue6
75135.9
199411.7
9387.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37330206080100476

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#27
13.90.7
15.215.9
Auto3.4
Teleop8.4
End2.2
red by 2.2
1994
#32
11.72.8
12.09.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End4.1
Second
1827
#12
12.90.7
8.28.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End3.5
red by 5.2
938
#36
7.72.8
8.86.1
Auto2.4
Teleop2.9
End2.4
Third
3160
#23
12.80.5
11.512.0
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End3.3
red by 6.9
7513
#30
5.91.4
5.97.3
Auto3.7
Teleop1.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed