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Red54
72308.5
396516.8
183626.5
Blue37
600013.7
325521.2
969610.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554702040801001205437

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End5.8
red by 5.4
21.20.0
21.221.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.7
End7.7
Second
16.80.0
16.816.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.2
End5.6
red by 3.1
6000
#15
13.70.0
13.713.7
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End3.3
Third
7230
#16
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto2.8
Teleop2.0
End3.7
blue by 1.6
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking odds62%HAB Docking odds