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Red27
70221.7
585713.7
508922.8
Blue24
448625.8
69624.4
113821.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6175020401001201402724

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto5.2
Teleop13.9
End3.6
blue by 3.0
4486
#13
25.80.0
25.825.8
Auto3.5
Teleop16.9
End5.4
Second
702
#10
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End3.4
blue by 2.8
696
#4
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End7.8
Third
5857
#12
13.70.0
13.713.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.4
End2.8
blue by 7.5
21.20.0
21.221.2
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket odds4%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking odds92%HAB Docking odds