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Red50
541215.1
709414.6
361619.8
Blue46
410714.1
728810.1
218317.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44371020305060705046

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.7
18.419.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.7
End6.4
red by 2.8
2183
#49
17.00.7
17.117.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End4.1
Second
5412
#31
15.10.5
12.312.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.0
End4.4
red by 0.9
4107
#38
14.11.2
9.811.0
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End3.1
Third
7094
#50
14.60.9
11.212.1
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End2.2
red by 4.6
7288
#47
10.11.2
8.49.6
Auto3.8
Teleop2.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed