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Red62
78999.2
191219.1
36436.6
Blue9
20789.5
497811.9
333710.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57350204080629

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#1
36.60.6
32.032.6
Auto6.0
Teleop21.2
End9.4
red by 24.7
4978
#36
11.92.7
10.17.5
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End3.9
Second
1912
#18
19.10.9
13.914.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.2
End6.3
red by 8.3
3337
#26
10.82.7
12.69.9
Auto2.1
Teleop6.1
End2.5
Third
7899
#41
9.20.9
8.08.9
Auto1.8
Teleop3.8
End3.6
blue by 0.3
2078
#37
9.52.7
10.27.5
Auto4.0
Teleop2.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
52%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed