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Red68
410714.1
602521.0
393727.3
Blue51
433618.7
733111.2
136918.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57472030407080906851

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#27
27.30.7
23.424.2
Auto3.4
Teleop20.8
End3.1
red by 8.5
4336
#14
18.70.4
14.815.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End5.6
Second
6025
#17
21.01.2
18.119.3
Auto3.6
Teleop14.6
End2.9
red by 2.5
1369
#33
18.60.4
18.218.6
Auto4.6
Teleop9.3
End4.7
Third
4107
#38
14.11.2
12.814.0
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End3.1
red by 3.0
7331
#52
11.20.7
11.712.4
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
20%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed48%HAB Docking oddsMissed