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Red46
516811.8
731612.1
360616.5
Blue64
303926.5
541215.1
766115.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3950203060704664

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3606
#54
16.50.4
13.614.0
Auto3.8
Teleop9.1
End3.7
blue by 10.0
3039
#15
26.51.1
23.624.7
Auto4.2
Teleop16.1
End6.1
Second
7316
#34
12.10.4
10.110.5
Auto3.2
Teleop5.6
End3.4
blue by 2.9
5412
#31
15.11.1
12.513.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.0
End4.4
Third
5168
#44
11.80.4
13.013.3
Auto2.2
Teleop6.8
End2.8
blue by 3.2
7661
#20
15.01.8
11.513.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsMissed