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Red54
192710.9
361619.8
648912.8
Blue42
783410.7
78999.2
394617.0
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433210205060705442

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.9
18.319.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.7
End6.4
red by 2.9
3946
#13
17.00.8
12.313.1
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End5.3
Second
6489
#22
12.81.5
10.011.5
Auto5.6
Teleop3.4
End3.8
red by 2.1
7834
#32
10.71.3
9.110.5
Auto4.1
Teleop1.9
End4.7
Third
1927
#58
10.91.5
12.113.6
Auto4.0
Teleop5.5
End1.4
red by 1.7
7899
#41
9.21.3
8.59.9
Auto1.8
Teleop3.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsEarned46%HAB Docking oddsEarned