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Red49
555616.1
490925.9
575215.5
Blue46
630113.5
176822.8
726613.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5447203040607080904946

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.7
21.620.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.7
End7.5
red by 3.1
22.80.1
18.418.5
Auto4.0
Teleop15.7
End3.1
Second
5556
#15
16.10.7
15.614.9
Auto3.2
Teleop10.0
End2.8
red by 2.4
7266
#23
13.70.2
14.514.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End4.2
Third
15.50.7
13.512.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.5
End3.3
red by 2.1
6301
#14
13.50.1
11.811.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsEarned