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Red55
147425.7
556316.2
54917.0
Blue57
779518.3
676318.2
620114.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584502040801005557

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.6
26.425.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.8
End6.5
red by 7.4
7795
#21
18.30.8
15.416.1
Auto3.4
Teleop12.4
End2.5
Second
5563
#16
16.20.6
17.116.5
Auto4.2
Teleop8.5
End3.6
blue by 2.0
6763
#19
18.20.8
15.215.9
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Third
5491
#28
7.01.1
11.09.9
Auto2.3
Teleop3.2
End1.5
blue by 7.6
14.50.8
11.712.5
Auto5.3
Teleop4.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsEarned