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Red63
176822.8
359713.3
555616.1
Blue55
676318.2
46711.8
782213.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474402060806355

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.81.2
18.519.7
Auto4.0
Teleop15.7
End3.1
red by 4.5
6763
#19
18.20.9
16.817.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Second
5556
#15
16.11.2
14.215.5
Auto3.2
Teleop10.0
End2.8
red by 2.6
7822
#26
13.50.9
12.012.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End3.2
Third
3597
#12
13.31.8
11.613.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End5.1
red by 1.5
467
#18
11.80.9
12.713.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed