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Red49
176114.3
242313.4
172116.3
Blue50
34813.9
779518.3
556316.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404702060804950

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1721
#13
16.30.8
14.315.0
Auto3.5
Teleop10.6
End2.2
blue by 2.0
7795
#21
18.30.3
16.717.1
Auto3.4
Teleop12.4
End2.5
Second
1761
#17
14.30.8
12.012.7
Auto3.4
Teleop7.7
End3.2
blue by 1.9
5563
#16
16.20.3
16.516.8
Auto4.2
Teleop8.5
End3.6
Third
13.40.8
11.512.2
Auto2.8
Teleop6.6
End4.0
blue by 0.4
348
#24
13.90.3
11.611.9
Auto5.5
Teleop5.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed