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Red64
54917.0
490925.9
568731.1
Blue52
130714.1
726613.7
573514.0
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63482040801006452

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.3
29.228.9
Auto3.1
Teleop19.8
End8.2
red by 17.0
1307
#25
14.10.2
13.112.8
Auto4.4
Teleop7.7
End2.0
Second
25.90.3
21.721.4
Auto4.6
Teleop13.7
End7.5
red by 11.9
5735
#10
14.00.2
17.016.8
Auto5.5
Teleop4.6
End3.9
Third
5491
#28
7.00.4
8.88.3
Auto2.3
Teleop3.2
End1.5
blue by 6.7
7266
#23
13.70.3
15.515.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
86%HAB Docking oddsEarned47%HAB Docking oddsMissed