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Red70
676315.8
7828.1
2318.2
Blue67
115328.7
633311.9
216827.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5244304060707067

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#1
28.11.9
19.421.3
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End8.7
blue by 0.6
28.72.8
13.116.0
Auto4.9
Teleop16.7
End7.1
Second
23
#16
18.21.9
13.815.7
Auto3.8
Teleop12.6
End1.8
blue by 9.4
27.62.8
18.721.5
Auto4.8
Teleop17.6
End5.2
Third
6763
#25
15.81.9
16.818.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End1.8
red by 3.9
6333
#29
11.92.8
9.712.5
Auto2.4
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsEarned45%HAB Docking oddsEarned